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Market forecast

shutterstock_2234054409

Market forecast: Why firms will feel the pressure in 2024

2024-01-11T06:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

As we head into the new year, input costs are levelling off – in terms of materials at least – but as new orders become patchier, market competition is rising

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: Why margin compression remains a concern

2023-10-05T06:01:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Against a poor economic backdrop, construction output is holding up in every sub-sector except housing. However there are still reasons to be worried.

bank

Market forecast: Why tender prices are likely to continue rising despite cost inflation easing

2023-07-05T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

The ongoing economic backdrop of elevated interest rates is increasingly impacting construction

housebuildng_shutterstock_1869898126

Market forecast: Heading for a fall?

2023-04-19T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Construction output has been on the up, but can this continue in the face of economic uncertainty? Housebuilding in particular looks set for a fall

storm

Market forecast: Weathering the storm

2023-01-10T07:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

The UK is now clearly heading into recession but strong momentum in construction output should help to insulate our sector, despite only slightly slowing cost pressures

New work

Market forecast: Upward but uneven

2022-11-11T07:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

As building costs soar, yearly tender price increases are close to double figures – but that should slow next year. And while construction output is still rising overall, there is greater fragmentation

shutterstock_648164308

Market forecast: Into the headwinds

2022-08-03T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Output has recovered almost to pre-pandemic levels, but optimism is falling in the face of inflation, recruitment challenges and red tape

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: The costs of uncertainty

2022-05-09T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Output is levelling off as the Ukraine war and Chinese covid lockdowns hit confidence. Meanwhile, the same factors are adding inflationary pressures

cranes

Market forecast: Inflation bites

2022-02-10T07:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

As output rebounds, building costs are soaring at double-digit rates thanks to a variety of inflationary pressures, sending tender prices upwards

cranes

Market forecast: On the up and up

2021-11-10T05:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

Acute inflation in the sector is pushing up tender prices, and with no end in sight to the pressures, this could continue well beyond 2022

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: Bouncing back

2021-08-09T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Rising demand and tightening supply are driving up both costs and tender prices. How much of this is just a spike rather than an underlying upward economic trend?

Monthly new work output

Market forecast: High hopes

2021-05-10T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

While sentiment is high for a recovery, new orders are not fully mirroring this optimism, and a supply crunch is hitting the materials chain hard

Optimism

Market forecast: Uncertainty looms

2021-02-12T05:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

There are signs of an increase in output, but ongoing uncertainty around covid lockdowns and Brexit red tape make the future harder to predict

Screenshot 2020-11-20 at 09.28.22

Market forecast: A slow recovery

2020-11-23T05:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

Construction output and sentiment have regained much ground after their collapse amid the initial lockdown, but ongoing uncertainty means recovery is wobbly

Business sentiment 2

Market forecast: Rising, but for how long?

2020-08-13T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

While the initial bounce-back looks to be V-shaped, there are strong reasons to believe that could change in the medium term as downside risks materialise

CBI Business Optimism Index

Market forecast: Recovery scenarios

2020-05-15T06:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Our regular market forecasts on output, activity, costs and tender prices include an analysis of three different scenarios for recovery from the pandemic’s economic impact

Yearly % change Market Forecast Q4 2019 2020-02-13 at 16.18.48

Market forecast: Output rises

2020-02-17T06:00:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

New work output expanded in the latest quarter to a year-on-year figure of 4%

Aecom-indices

Market forecast: New work grows – just

2019-11-14T07:38:00+00:00By Michael Hubbard

New work output saw a little expansion in Q2, but, year-on-year, new orders slipped after a minor rebound in Q1 as Brexit uncertainty continues to make itself felt

Aecom-indices

Market forecast Q2 2019: Slowing down

2019-08-23T10:41:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

All construction work output experienced a fillip in Q1 2019, while tender prices increased over the year at Q2 2019

Aecom-indices

Market forecast Q1 2019: Slowing down

2019-05-20T05:00:00+01:00By Michael Hubbard

Tender prices are likely to rise at a slower rate over the next couple of years, as output wavers and business confidence stays low

All Market forecast

 

 

 

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